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I ran 2 million Monte Carlo simulations of the full NFL season to calculate the effect of every game on the playoff and draft position odds for every team. Click on your team to find out which team you should root for in each game this week to maximize your odds for making it to the playoffs or winning the Superbowl. If you’re tanking, you can also see how to strategically root for teams that maximize your odds of getting the first overall draft pick. For details on how the values in this table are calculated, see the Methodology page.

Data is updated every Tuesday.

League Standings

Select your team to see who you should root for this week

Team
Record
Playoff Odds
Conf Champ
SB Champ
Top 5 Pick
Buffalo Bills logo
BUF
0-094.7%34.7%21.7%0.1%
Kansas City Chiefs logo
KC
0-085.6%20.6%12.0%0.4%
Philadelphia Eagles logo
PHI
0-083.7%25.3%13.3%0.6%
Baltimore Ravens logo
BAL
0-083.2%17.8%10.1%0.5%
San Francisco 49ers logo
SF
0-077.5%14.3%6.3%1.6%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers logo
TB
0-070.2%9.1%3.6%3.8%
Green Bay Packers logo
GB
0-065.7%11.5%5.2%0.0%
Houston Texans logo
HOU
0-059.8%5.5%2.5%3.8%
Detroit Lions logo
DET
0-057.8%9.2%4.1%3.1%
Cincinnati Bengals logo
CIN
0-055.2%4.7%2.2%4.1%
Los Angeles Rams logo
LAR
0-054.7%6.5%2.7%25.4%
Los Angeles Chargers logo
LAC
0-054.6%4.4%2.0%4.7%
Denver Broncos logo
DEN
0-054.3%4.3%2.0%4.4%
Washington Commanders logo
WSH
0-053.0%6.5%2.7%5.3%
Minnesota Vikings logo
MIN
0-051.7%6.6%2.8%5.4%
Seattle Seahawks logo
SEA
0-042.9%3.6%1.3%8.2%
New England Patriots logo
NE
0-041.4%1.8%0.7%9.2%
Pittsburgh Steelers logo
PIT
0-037.8%2.1%0.9%9.3%
Arizona Cardinals logo
ARI
0-036.4%2.5%0.9%10.8%
Indianapolis Colts logo
IND
0-032.8%1.3%0.5%15.6%
Jacksonville Jaguars logo
JAX
0-029.3%1.0%0.4%0.0%
Atlanta Falcons logo
ATL
0-028.6%1.3%0.4%0.0%
Miami Dolphins logo
MIA
0-028.6%1.0%0.4%14.2%
Chicago Bears logo
CHI
0-025.5%1.6%0.6%16.0%
Dallas Cowboys logo
DAL
0-022.8%1.2%0.4%23.7%
Carolina Panthers logo
CAR
0-019.4%0.6%0.2%31.9%
Tennessee Titans logo
TEN
0-017.1%0.3%0.1%32.9%
Las Vegas Raiders logo
LV
0-011.8%0.2%0.1%33.0%
New York Jets logo
NYJ
0-010.5%0.2%0.0%34.3%
New Orleans Saints logo
NO
0-06.4%0.1%0.0%61.3%
New York Giants logo
NYG
0-03.8%0.1%0.0%57.7%
Cleveland Browns logo
CLE
0-03.4%0.0%0.0%68.0%

Column Descriptions:

Team: Team name and logo.

Record: Wins-Losses-Ties (Ties are omitted if it’s 0).

Playoff Odds: Odds of making the playoffs.

Conf Champ: Odds of winning your conference championship game.

SB Champ: Odds of winning the Super Bowl.

Top 5 Pick: Odds of securing a top 5 pick in the upcoming draft.