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I ran 5 million Monte Carlo simulations of the full NFL season to calculate the effect of every game on the playoff and draft position odds for every team. Click on your team to find out which team you should root for in each game this week to maximize your odds for making it to the playoffs or winning the Superbowl. If you’re tanking, you can also see how to strategically root for teams that maximize your odds of getting the first overall draft pick. For details on how the values in this table are calculated, see the Methodology page.

Data is updated every Tuesday.

League Standings

Select your team to see who you should root for this week

Team
Record
Playoff Odds
Conf Champ
SB Champ
Top 5 Pick
Tampa Bay Buccaneers logo
TB
5-192.0%13.4%4.7%0.0%
Indianapolis Colts logo
IND
5-189.4%16.3%9.3%0.0%
Buffalo Bills logo
BUF
4-288.1%16.4%9.8%0.1%
Kansas City Chiefs logo
KC
3-385.6%29.5%21.0%0.0%
Green Bay Packers logo
GB
3-1-183.1%17.0%7.4%0.0%
Detroit Lions logo
DET
4-282.2%19.7%9.1%0.0%
Los Angeles Rams logo
LAR
4-278.9%14.2%5.8%4.7%
New England Patriots logo
NE
4-278.7%6.0%2.9%0.2%
San Francisco 49ers logo
SF
4-273.7%6.8%2.3%0.5%
Denver Broncos logo
DEN
4-273.3%9.9%5.7%0.1%
Philadelphia Eagles logo
PHI
4-272.9%11.7%4.7%0.2%
Pittsburgh Steelers logo
PIT
4-172.2%4.5%2.0%0.5%
Jacksonville Jaguars logo
JAX
4-267.1%6.4%3.3%0.0%
Los Angeles Chargers logo
LAC
4-264.8%4.4%2.1%0.5%
Seattle Seahawks logo
SEA
4-255.7%4.4%1.5%0.5%
Washington Commanders logo
WSH
3-349.8%8.0%3.4%1.5%
Baltimore Ravens logo
BAL
1-541.6%4.9%2.8%3.5%
Atlanta Falcons logo
ATL
3-233.3%1.2%0.3%0.0%
Houston Texans logo
HOU
2-326.9%1.7%0.8%4.0%
Minnesota Vikings logo
MIN
3-222.2%1.2%0.4%6.5%
Chicago Bears logo
CHI
3-214.9%0.4%0.1%11.6%
New York Giants logo
NYG
2-413.6%1.0%0.3%13.6%
Carolina Panthers logo
CAR
3-310.5%0.2%0.0%18.7%
Dallas Cowboys logo
DAL
2-3-19.2%0.5%0.1%20.3%
Cincinnati Bengals logo
CIN
2-46.8%0.1%0.0%31.3%
Arizona Cardinals logo
ARI
2-46.7%0.2%0.1%25.8%
Las Vegas Raiders logo
LV
2-42.4%0.0%0.0%34.8%
Cleveland Browns logo
CLE
1-51.7%0.0%0.0%56.7%
New Orleans Saints logo
NO
1-51.3%0.0%0.0%66.3%
Miami Dolphins logo
MIA
1-50.9%0.0%0.0%51.4%
Tennessee Titans logo
TEN
1-50.4%0.0%0.0%58.9%
New York Jets logo
NYJ
0-60.1%0.0%0.0%87.7%

Column Descriptions:

Team: Team name and logo.

Record: Wins-Losses-Ties (Ties are omitted if it’s 0).

Playoff Odds: Odds of making the playoffs.

Conf Champ: Odds of winning your conference championship game.

SB Champ: Odds of winning the Super Bowl.

Top 5 Pick: Odds of securing a top 5 pick in the upcoming draft.