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Sun, Sep 20 4:05 PM ET
Team-by-Team Impact: Playoff Odds
Updated on September 15, 2026 at 11:55 AM EDT
Team | Optimal Winner | Current Odds | If Win | If Lose | Impact Δ▼ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | 41.9% | ▲5.4% | ▼14.6% | 20.0% |
| | 19.4% | ▲12.3% | ▼4.6% | 16.9% |
 | | 52.2% | ▲0.3% | ▼0.1% | 0.5% |
 | | 57.2% | ▲0.3% | ▼0.1% | 0.4% |
 | | 76.4% | ▲0.3% | ▼0.1% | 0.4% |
 | | 27.7% | ▲0.2% | ▼0.1% | 0.3% |
 | | 38.3% | ▲0.2% | ▼0.1% | 0.3% |
 | | 71.4% | ▲0.2% | ▼0.1% | 0.2% |
 | | 21.2% | ▲0.1% | ▼0.1% | 0.2% |
 | | 80.2% | ▲0.1% | ▼0.1% | 0.2% |
 | | 43.9% | ▲0.1% | ▼0.1% | 0.2% |
 | | 80.6% | ▲0.1% | ▼0.0% | 0.1% |
 | | 6.0% | ▲0.1% | ▼0.0% | 0.1% |
 | | 59.3% | ▲0.1% | ▼0.0% | 0.1% |
 | | 60.4% | ▲0.1% | ▼0.0% | 0.1% |
 | | 39.1% | ▲0.0% | ▼0.1% | 0.1% |
 | | 66.8% | ▲0.1% | ▼0.0% | 0.1% |
 | | 71.6% | ▲0.1% | ▼0.0% | 0.1% |
 | | 28.9% | ▲0.1% | ▼0.0% | 0.1% |
 | | 57.5% | ▲0.0% | ▼0.1% | 0.1% |
 | | 61.9% | ▲0.1% | ▼0.0% | 0.1% |
 | | 38.9% | ▲0.0% | ▼0.1% | 0.1% |
 | | 43.8% | ▲0.1% | ▼0.0% | 0.1% |
 | | 23.4% | ▲0.1% | ▼0.0% | 0.1% |
 | | 4.0% | ▲0.1% | ▼0.0% | 0.1% |
 | | 3.8% | ▲0.0% | ▼0.0% | 0.0% |
 | | 38.8% | ▲0.0% | ▼0.0% | 0.0% |
 | | 67.9% | ▲0.0% | ▼0.0% | 0.0% |
 | | 26.0% | ▲0.0% | ▼0.0% | 0.0% |
 | | 7.4% | 0.0% | ▼0.0% | 0.0% |
 | | 17.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
 | | 66.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Column Descriptions:
Team: The NFL team whose odds are being impacted by this game.
Optimal Winner: Odds are maximized when this team wins.
Current Odds: The team's baseline odds for the selected outcome before this game's result is factored in.
If Win: The change in this NFL team's odds (for the selected outcome) if the optimal winner wins this game.
If Lose: The change in this NFL team's odds if the optimal winner loses this game.
Impact Δ: The difference in this NFL team's odds between optimal winner winning vs. losing this game. (Odds if optimal wins - Odds if optimal loses).