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Team-by-Team Impact: Playoff Odds
Updated on September 22, 2026 at 12:15 PM EDT
Team | Optimal Winner | Current Odds | If Win | If Lose | Impact Δ▼ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | 47.4% | ▲5.6% | ▼8.8% | 14.4% |
| | 32.7% | ▲8.6% | ▼5.4% | 14.0% |
 | | 31.9% | ▲2.7% | ▼1.7% | 4.5% |
 | | 25.0% | ▲2.3% | ▼1.4% | 3.7% |
 | | 12.5% | ▲1.1% | ▼0.7% | 1.8% |
 | | 59.8% | ▲0.6% | ▼0.9% | 1.6% |
 | | 63.2% | ▲0.6% | ▼0.9% | 1.4% |
 | | 22.1% | ▲0.5% | ▼0.8% | 1.3% |
 | | 82.2% | ▲0.5% | ▼0.8% | 1.3% |
 | | 53.9% | ▲0.4% | ▼0.7% | 1.1% |
 | | 82.4% | ▲0.4% | ▼0.7% | 1.1% |
 | | 81.9% | ▲0.4% | ▼0.6% | 1.0% |
 | | 17.3% | ▲0.4% | ▼0.6% | 1.0% |
 | | 58.8% | ▲0.4% | ▼0.6% | 1.0% |
 | | 22.6% | ▲0.3% | ▼0.6% | 0.9% |
 | | 17.3% | ▲0.3% | ▼0.5% | 0.8% |
 | | 70.0% | ▲0.5% | ▼0.3% | 0.7% |
 | | 75.9% | ▲0.4% | ▼0.3% | 0.7% |
 | | 10.5% | ▲0.3% | ▼0.4% | 0.7% |
 | | 76.4% | ▲0.3% | ▼0.2% | 0.5% |
 | | 43.9% | ▲0.3% | ▼0.2% | 0.5% |
 | | 91.1% | ▲0.2% | ▼0.3% | 0.5% |
 | | 58.9% | ▲0.3% | ▼0.2% | 0.4% |
 | | 43.5% | ▲0.2% | ▼0.1% | 0.3% |
 | | 41.9% | ▲0.2% | ▼0.1% | 0.3% |
 | | 59.3% | ▲0.2% | ▼0.1% | 0.3% |
 | | 25.5% | ▲0.1% | ▼0.1% | 0.2% |
 | | 77.0% | ▲0.1% | ▼0.1% | 0.2% |
 | | 6.4% | ▲0.1% | ▼0.1% | 0.1% |
 | | 3.8% | ▲0.1% | ▼0.1% | 0.1% |
 | | 4.5% | ▲0.1% | ▼0.1% | 0.1% |
 | | 0.5% | ▲0.0% | ▼0.0% | 0.1% |
Column Descriptions:
Team: The NFL team whose odds are being impacted by this game.
Optimal Winner: Odds are maximized when this team wins.
Current Odds: The team's baseline odds for the selected outcome before this game's result is factored in.
If Win: The change in this NFL team's odds (for the selected outcome) if the optimal winner wins this game.
If Lose: The change in this NFL team's odds if the optimal winner loses this game.
Impact Δ: The difference in this NFL team's odds between optimal winner winning vs. losing this game. (Odds if optimal wins - Odds if optimal loses).