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Sun, Oct 04 9:30 AM ET
Team-by-Team Impact: Playoff Odds
Updated on September 29, 2026 at 1:53 PM EDT
Team | Optimal Winner | Current Odds | If Win | If Lose | Impact Δ▼ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | 37.5% | ▲5.4% | ▼9.2% | 14.6% |
| | 16.3% | ▲6.4% | ▼3.8% | 10.3% |
 | | 35.3% | ▲1.6% | ▼0.9% | 2.5% |
 | | 68.6% | ▲1.6% | ▼0.9% | 2.5% |
 | | 69.5% | ▲0.6% | ▼1.0% | 1.6% |
 | | 42.9% | ▲0.8% | ▼0.5% | 1.3% |
 | | 43.6% | ▲0.5% | ▼0.8% | 1.3% |
 | | 74.5% | ▲0.7% | ▼0.4% | 1.2% |
 | | 65.0% | ▲0.7% | ▼0.4% | 1.1% |
 | | 32.9% | ▲0.7% | ▼0.4% | 1.1% |
 | | 48.8% | ▲0.4% | ▼0.6% | 1.0% |
 | | 35.5% | ▲0.6% | ▼0.3% | 0.9% |
 | | 30.6% | ▲0.3% | ▼0.5% | 0.9% |
 | | 68.9% | ▲0.3% | ▼0.5% | 0.9% |
 | | 71.5% | ▲0.3% | ▼0.5% | 0.8% |
 | | 72.0% | ▲0.3% | ▼0.5% | 0.8% |
 | | 16.5% | ▲0.5% | ▼0.3% | 0.8% |
 | | 69.7% | ▲0.3% | ▼0.5% | 0.8% |
 | | 14.9% | ▲0.3% | ▼0.4% | 0.7% |
 | | 77.9% | ▲0.2% | ▼0.4% | 0.6% |
 | | 83.2% | ▲0.4% | ▼0.2% | 0.6% |
 | | 85.1% | ▲0.3% | ▼0.2% | 0.6% |
 | | 10.8% | ▲0.3% | ▼0.2% | 0.6% |
 | | 13.3% | ▲0.3% | ▼0.2% | 0.6% |
 | | 5.0% | ▲0.3% | ▼0.2% | 0.5% |
 | | 91.6% | ▲0.2% | ▼0.1% | 0.3% |
 | | 49.4% | ▲0.1% | ▼0.1% | 0.2% |
 | | 25.6% | ▲0.1% | ▼0.1% | 0.2% |
 | | 6.3% | ▲0.1% | ▼0.1% | 0.2% |
 | | 13.1% | ▲0.0% | ▼0.1% | 0.1% |
 | | 2.3% | ▲0.1% | ▼0.0% | 0.1% |
 | | 21.7% | ▲0.0% | ▼0.1% | 0.1% |
Column Descriptions:
Team: The NFL team whose odds are being impacted by this game.
Optimal Winner: Odds are maximized when this team wins.
Current Odds: The team's baseline odds for the selected outcome before this game's result is factored in.
If Win: The change in this NFL team's odds (for the selected outcome) if the optimal winner wins this game.
If Lose: The change in this NFL team's odds if the optimal winner loses this game.
Impact Δ: The difference in this NFL team's odds between optimal winner winning vs. losing this game. (Odds if optimal wins - Odds if optimal loses).